What Do Bulimia and Working for the U.N. Have in Common?

Twice in my life — in Denmark and Hong Kong — I have started chatting with women who ended up telling me about their bulimia, which they kept secret from almost everyone, including their friends. A few days ago, in San Francisco, I met a woman who works on water engineering projects for the U.N. “What I do in my job is connect people,” she told me. For example, she went to Haiti and brought the people who needed help together with the people (in Haiti) who could help them. She never tells her bosses what she does. To her bosses, the focus is on some sort of technology. Were she to tell her bosses what she does, she said, the focus would shift away from the technology. There would be attempts to institutionalize what she does — and institutions would be terrible at it.

What other jobs are like this (where your boss doesn’t know what you do)?

Shirley Hazzard’s Defeat of an Ideal: A Study of the Self-destruction of the United Nations (1973) is excellent. It’s Devil Wears Prada about a whole institution.

The Twilight of Expertise (part 12: Super Crunchers)

Ian Ayres’ interesting new book, Super Crunchers, has a chapter about expert prediction versus predictions from math models. Almost always, the math models do better than the experts. I learned about this in graduate school when I read stuff by Paul Meehl, a psychology professor who compared the predictions of clinicians and regression equations in the 1950s. The idea has gathered strength since then and now the persons in some jobs — such as loan officers — are required to follow an algorithm for making decisions. Their expertise is ignored. Obviously they no longer derive as much self-worth from their job, Ayres points out.

It’s like the beginning of agriculture. Lots has been written about the physical problems caused by the change to agriculture. Stature decreased, tooth decay increased, and so on. I’ve never read about the mental problems it must have caused. I can only speculate, of course, but here’s an possible example: Hunters derived self-worth from bringing meat to their families. Taking that away caused problems. (Watching Once Were Warriors, a terrific movie, should make this more plausible.)

I have never read anything about how to reintroduce into everyday jobs crucial mental elements that hunting had and farming lacked. Nutrition education, vitamin supplements, dietary fortification, and other nutrition programs push us toward a pre-agricultural diet, which was far more diverse and better balanced. There is no similar set of things that move us closer to pre-agricultural ways of making a living. My self-experimental research is all about the value stuff that ancient life had but modern life lacks — such as seeing lots of faces in the morning — but I have never figured out how to simulate elements of hunting, beyond being on one’s feet a lot.

The Secret and Self-Experimentation

The Secret, of course, is the huge best seller that makes a claim that on its face sounds delusional: You can get what you want by thinking about it. Years ago I stayed in a bed-and-breakfast room rented by a woman whose refrigerator had a collage with pictures and words showing money and prosperity. Clearly she believed that imagining these things would help achieve them.

Previously I described a cable-TV experiment that shows there is something to this. Here, in addition, is some self-experimentation:

Back in the 80′s when I first started work as a nurse, I decided to spend one week using only superlatives & compliments when dealing with my co-workers and patients. I 1st wanted to see if they would ‘call’ me on it & just tell me to stop the silliness. Then I wanted to see if it made a difference in my life, &/or theirs. . . . I freely complimented the docs, nurses, ancillary help, etc. At the end of the week, I had people telling me, ‘I don’t know what it is about you, but I just love spending time around you.’

My mom tells a similar story. In seventh grade she went to a new school where she didn’t know anyone. It was very bad year in terms of making friends. The night before the first day of eighth grade she had a dream. In the dream she was at school and it was just as terrible as seventh grade. She woke up and thought, “No, I can’t go through that again, it was too awful.” She wondered what she could possibly do to change things. Well, she thought, I could smile at everyone “like a damn fool” — whether she felt like smiling or not. In fact, this worked. Not much later a girl she admired said to her, “People say you’re a lot more friendly this year.” Eighth grade turned out a lot better than seventh grade.

Walk and Write at the Same Time

My exercise research suggests our brains work better when we walk. Here’s one way to combine walking and writing:

While working on a paper, which was most of the time, [Niels] Bohr would select an assistant from among the young physicists in Copenhagen. The assistant, affectionately dubbed the victim, was supposed to sit in place while Bohr paced around the room, constantly puffing away at his pip, working and reworking his ideas, talking aloud as the idea took shape, trying and retrying to dictate his sentences to the victim.

From Faust in Copenhagen: A Struggle for the Soul of Physics by Gino Segre.

The modern version may be use of word recognition software with the computer screen on a wall or large TV. You walk back and forth in front of it. I have spent a lot of time writing while walking on a treadmill but it was noisy and tiring. Moreover, it was hard to start and stop and it was monotonous.

How Lucky I Feel

From an email to science-fiction author Bruce Sterling:

The main thing [most book] authors experience is THE VOID. We never get any feedback or at least never enough. I have a friend called Ruth who is 80 years old and reads voraciously: novels, biographies, poetry. She writes to the authors she likes and gets back extraordinary responses: four pages hand written, invitations to dinner. She says, ‘I would have thought they were too important to read my letters’ and I say ‘Ruth, you are the only one who writes’.

It’s the same with teaching. We get to know so little of what effects we have on our students. But the internet offers a small measure of salvation. Sometimes a former student writes, ‘You don’t know me but I sat in your class in 1991 and…” It makes all the difference to get just one of those every few years, but it doesn’t add up to an objectification of the audience for our work.

I’ve had thousands of students and written one book. (In Chinese you are a “writer” if you’ve written one book and an “author” if you’ve written more than one — so I am a writer.) I don’t hear from my students very often but every day I get feedback from the SLD forums. To say I get “enough” feedback would be to understate the effect of comments like this:

I started a new job this past August . . . It’s so strange to be in a new place with people who’ve never known me as Fat Del. . . . That insidious “I wonder if there’s something wrong with her” has never crossed their minds. I’m just the normal girl in the next office. Men flirt with me and seem to think it’s cute when I’m not sure how to flirt back. . . . No one ever thinks I used to be fat and no one ever judges me in that light. Hell, my boss calls me by my full name and says it’s because Del is too short and casual for a pretty girl.

It’s so odd to be normal. I never thought I’d know what that was like.

Thanks for letting me know, Del.

The Anti-Veblen

It is curious that both Thorstein Veblen and Tyler Cowen were/are economists. Judged by their interests, they might have been psychologists, sociologists, or anthropologists, especially the last. The Theory of the Leisure Class was pure anthropology. Tyler’s new book Discover Your Inner Economist is a blend of psychology and anthropology. Veblen wrote a whole book arguing what Tyler (rightly) takes as needing little support. “Cookbooks by famous chefs . . . seek to impress rather than respect our limits,” writes Tyler. Straight out of Theory of the Leisure Class except better written.

In book after book, Veblen criticized mainstream economics. The mainstream economists of his time liked to assume that everyone “maximized utility”; the point of Theory of the Leisure Class was how wrong this was — all that conspicuous waste and consumption and impracticality done to signal one’s wealth. Whereas Tyler’s theme is essentially the opposite: mainstream economic ideas, which now include Veblen’s, explain a lot about everyday life, such as which countries have the best restaurants. U. N. troops were “very good for the people who sell lobster,” a Haitian taxi driver told him.

Whereas Veblen expressed his dissatisfaction in the usual academic way — he wrote a book saying this is bad, that is bad (very creatively and thematically) — Tyler did something far less predictable and probably far more powerful: With Alex Tabarrok, he started a blog. The main theme of Marginal Revolution, as far as I can tell, is to praise stuff (usually academic economic stuff) that Tyler believes is or is likely to be under-appreciated. Greg Clark’s new book is an example. Stories teach values, and MR is a long-running serial with “recurring characters” (to quote Tyler). To criticize by creating is as old as Michaelangelo but requires a willingness to start small and deal with small things (such as a tiny restaurant) that doesn’t come easily to academics in prestigious positions.

What Is Intelligence? by James Flynn

James Flynn’s conclusion that IQ scores all over the world had gone up by one standard deviation over 50 years or so (the Flynn effect) was one of the great psychological discoveries of the 20th century. It showed more clearly than anything else that everyday life can have a big effect on IQ, contrary to what many claimed.

In a new book called What Is Intelligence? Beyond the Flynn Effect Flynn takes this discovery as a starting point. After reading it, I could see there are three broad classes of explanation:

1. Events fed on themselves to promote certain abilities. To illustrate the dynamics, Flynn gives the example of basketball. As basketball became more popular, more people watched basketball, more people played basketball, and the rewards possible from basketball went up. All this increased the average level of play.

2. The trend of the last 50 years is a continuation of very long-term trends affecting those of high and low IQ roughly equally.

3. During the last 50 years, some environmental features were “fixed” — not everyone was reaching full potential. Better nutrition is the obvious example — nutritional deficiencies were corrected. This explanation is discussed briefly.

These three classes of explanation correspond to different expectations about how the distribution of IQ scores has changed. The first suggests that the high end (e.g., 75th %ile) increased more than the low end (e.g., 25th %ile). This is surely the case with basketball ability. The second means that that whole distribution has shifted. The third suggests that there will have been more improvement at the low end of the distribution than at the high end. Flynn does not make clear what the data show.

To the question, “were our (lower-IQ) ancestors sort of stupid?” Flynn answers yes. He quotes interviews with Russian peasants. Asked what dogs and chickens have in common, the answer was nothing. Asked what fish and crows have in common, again the answer was nothing. “Sort of stupid” is a harsh way to put it — and obviously they had many skills we have lost — but with the New York Times archives online, you can judge for yourself. Here is the opening of a 1937 review of Eleanor Roosevelt’s autobiography:

You pick up this book in the acute–and of course inevitable–consciousness that it is the autobiography of the wife of the President of the United States.

That sounds to me like a Spy parody.

I am less interested than Flynn in the question of the title. Intelligence is an everyday word with a meaning most of us know well; and it has also been used by psychologists to label what IQ tests measure (which is reasonable; it’s just an abbreviation). I find it hard to get interested in questions about definitions. Asking how to define this or that word is like asking how much cumin or cinnamon or whatever to put into a dish. It matters, but not very much. Definitions, like recipes, are man-made tools. Questions about cause and effect — such as what caused the Flynn effect — interest me more.

The dust jacket calls Flynn “a psychologist” but he’s a philosopher by training. “I am too much in love with philosophy to collect data or do field studies,” he writes. As a non-nutritionist who has written about nutrition (Chandra, the Shangri-La Diet, omega-3), his out-of-field success pleases me.

The Twilight of Expertise (part 10: book reviewers)

According to Publisher’s Weekly, a new program at amazon.com called

Amazon Vine rewards the site’s elite reviewers by giving them access to advance copies. According to a representative at Amazon, invitations have gone out to the site’s “top reviewers,” deemed so by their review rankings, to become Vine Voices.

I once read about a Los Angeles catering business that wasn’t doing so well until they doubled their prices. This is the opposite of that.

From Seth Godin:

When the Times switched from 10 books on the Hardcover [Best Sellers] list, they created a list of 15 Hardcover [Best Sellers] and a list of 5 Advice, How To and Miscellaneous [Best Sellers]. I wrote in and asked the editor why they only had 5 titles on this list and 15 on the others. She wrote back and said,

“Because we don’t want people to read those books.”

Pride goeth before a fall.

A Novelist on the Aquatic Ape Theory of Evolution

Plausibility of the Aquatic Ape Theory of Human Evolution is one reason I started studying the effects of omega-3s. Novelist Elizabeth Bear doesn’t like it:

[Doris] Lessing appears to have drawn her background from Elaine Morgan’s notorious pseudoscientific tome, The Descent of Woman (1972), which argues that human evolution was shaped by a seal-like return to the sea. Crackpot theories can make for great fiction but in this case . . .

That I found beneficial effects of omega-3s many times supports the “crackpot” theory.